UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Fairleigh Dick
  
Fairleigh Dickinson   
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 88.7416

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 1-12 228 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 2- 7 301 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5- 6 311 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 14-15 324 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 12- 5 407 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 5-11 415 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 3- 5 507 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 4- 5 521 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 7- 5 522 A Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 3-10 522 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 11-10 524 A Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 8-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Georgetown              1-12     -11    -3    ---   -7.95
   228 A Georgetown              2- 7      -5    -3          -1.95
   301 A Georgetown              5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.05
   311 H Monmouth               14-15      -1    -4    +      2.66
   324 A St. John's             12- 5       7    -6    +++   13.09
   407 A Penn State              5-11      -6    -4    -     -2.35
   415 A Monmouth                3- 5      -2    -5    +      3.01
   507 A Lipscomb                4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.18
   521 H Wagner                  7- 5       2     1           1.02
   522 A Long Island University  3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.90
   522 H Wagner                 11-10       1     1           0.02
   524 A Long Island University  8-22     -14    -4    ---   -9.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Georgetown              1-12     -11    -3    ---   -7.95
   524 A Long Island University  8-22     -14    -4    ---   -9.90
   407 A Penn State              5-11      -6    -4    -     -2.35
   522 A Long Island University  3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A St. John's             12- 5       7    -6    +++   13.09
   301 A Georgetown              5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.05
   311 H Monmouth               14-15      -1    -4    +      2.66
   415 A Monmouth                3- 5      -2    -5    +      3.01
   507 A Lipscomb                4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.18

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Georgetown      (25-29, 91.1)     1-12       -8.78       9.65       0.68         2.41            -9.77
   3 A Georgetown      (25-29, 91.1)     2- 7       -8.78       9.65       0.68         2.41            -9.77
   3 A Georgetown      (25-29, 91.1)     5- 6       -8.78       9.65       0.68         2.41            -9.77
   3 H Monmouth        (31-23, 93.1)    14-15       -6.82      11.60      -0.68         2.41            -9.03
   3 A St. John's      (35-26, 94.2)    12- 5       -5.75      12.68       0.68         2.41            64.37
   3 A Penn State      (14-38, 91.7)     5-11       -8.19      10.24       0.68         2.41            -9.05
   3 A Monmouth        (31-23, 93.1)     3- 5       -6.82      11.60       0.68         2.41            -7.41
   3 A Lipscomb        (32-22, 92.2)     4- 5       -7.65      10.77       0.68         2.41            -8.41
   3 H Wagner          ( 2-14, 88.4)     7- 5      -11.46       6.96      -0.68         2.41            30.31
   3 A Long Island Un  ( 3- 6, 92.2)     3-10       -7.73      10.70       0.68         2.41            -8.50
   3 H Wagner          ( 2-14, 88.4)    11-10      -11.46       6.96      -0.68         2.41            30.31
   3 A Long Island Un  ( 3- 6, 92.2)     8-22       -7.73      10.70       0.68         2.41            -8.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        44.79

winning pts = 124.9863 losing points = -80.1969

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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